


In the previous post, we introduced the basic concepts of percolation theory. Here we define the terminologies formally. Let denote the edge set of a graph
. We take
as a sample space, points in which are represented as
and are called configurations. A bond
is open in the configuration
if
and is closed if
, so configurations correspond to open subgraphs. We take
to be the
field of subsets of
generated by the cylinder sets. The associated probability measure is going to be the product measure with density
on
,
where is Bernoulli measure on {0,1}, given by
and
. We can take
to be the set of possible outcomes of our random subgraph and take
to be describing its distribution. We can basically ignore the measure-theoretic details above but take note that we do use the notation
to describe probabilities when the parameter used is
.
Let us recall the definition critical probability, sup
inf
. We now present a basic result in probability theory.
Theorem 2.1 Suppose that is a sequence of independent random variables. Let A be an event in the
-field generated by
. Suppose that the event A is independent of each finite subset of
, then
is 0 or 1 .
This is known as Kolmogorov’s 0-1 law. In percolation, we know that each site or bond has an independent probability . Let
be an event that there is an infinite open cluster. The event
is invariant under finite changes of sites or bonds. Thus, Kolmogorov’s 0-1 law implies that
(E) is either 0 or 1.
If , then
If , then
for some site , implying that
. In this case, we say that percolation occurs.
Let’s sum up what we have shown so far with an analogy. Consider the case of water moving through a very large medium (so large that it will take infinitely long for water to reach the surface from an origin inside the medium). Let the probability that a pore is big enough for water to pass through be . If the medium is made of less porous material, the pores having small
are less likely to be open for the water to flow through, so any open path that water travels through will likely be short. However, if it is made of more porous material with higher
, there are more open channels, so water can travel through a longer path from the origin. It is obvious to see that as
increases, it is likely that, eventually, water will travel infinitely far. We have observed that there is a critical probability
representing a threshold for such an event to occur. If
, then there is a positive probability that the path that water travels through is infinite. Kolmogorov’s 0-1 law guarantees that if
, an infinite path must exist inside the medium, though in our case, water may not flow in that path (as there can be many disconnected open paths inside the medium and, base on our assumption, water only flow in one of them).

We see that on either side of the critical probability, the global behavior of the system is fundamentally different. And at critical probability, a sharp transition takes place which transforms the behavior of the system from one form to the other. Thus, the existence of a critical probability makes percolation a mathematically interesting and rich subject.
Next, we continue with our study of percolation on . First, we want to show that bond percolation on
is non-trivial:
. Let
be the number of self-avoiding walks in
starting at
. In graph theory, a self-avoiding walk is also known as a path. As
is 4 regular, the number of self-avoiding walks of length
starting at the origin 0 is
, since there are 4 choices for the first step and at most 3 choices in the later steps.
Theorem 2.2 For bond percolation in , we have
.
Proof Let be the event that there is an open cluster
of size
starting at the origin 0 where each bond is open with probability
. Then the probability that all bonds are open is
. For every site
, there is at least one open path from from 0 to
. Thus, we have
For . Since
$n$, let there be an infinite cluster from the origin with
, we have
This is the equivalent to saying if ,
. By definition of
, it follows that
.
We now consider an upper bound. We will make use of a key result from graph theory.
Lemma 2.3 (Grimmett) Let be a vertex set of a connected subgraph of
.
if and only if
a simple cycle with
in its interior.
No proof will be provided here, but by drawing some pictures we can convince ourselves that it is very believable. Looking at figures 3 and 4 will also be helpful.
Theorem 2.4 For bond percolation in , we have
.
Proof The first thing we do is to introduce the dual of a graph
drawn in the plane has a vertex for each face of
and an edge
for each edge
in
. When
, we take
, which is isomorphic to
. We call an bond in the dual graph
open if and only if the corresponding bond in the original graph
is closed. If the set of open bonds in
are given by
, then the distribution of the set of closed bonds in
will also be given by
. An \textit{open dual cycle} is a cycle in the dual graph consisting of dual bonds that are open.
Now that we have defined all the necessary terms. Suppose that , let
be the line segment joining the origin to the point
, and let
be a dual cycle surrounding
, which has a length
. Then
must contain a dual bond
crossing the positive
-axis at some coordinate between
and
. This means that we have less than
choices for
. As the rest of S is a path of length
in the dual lattice, we have shown that the number of cycles around the origin of length
is at most
. Let
be the event that there exists an open dual cycle surrounding
, since dual bonds are open with probability
, we have
Since , the sum is convergent. We can choose a
so that
. Now, let
be the event that the
bonds in the line segment
are open. Let
be the event that there are no open dual cycles surrounding
. Since
,
. If both
and
holds then
by Lemma 2.3. Since
and
are independent, we have
Since , by definition of
, it follows that
.


We have shown that the critical probability for
is in between
and
, so there exists a non-trivial critical phenomenon. On the basis of Monte Carlo simulations, it was suggested that the critical probability should be
. In the next post, we will show that the critical probability for
is in fact
.